SATURDAY is Derby Day. I've gone on record on the ViewFromVegas Podcast (it's a one-hour show if you want to download the archive from this past Tuesday, April 27) as well as other radio shows and at the seminar at the Plaza in downtown Las Vegas Friday night as making #5 Line of David my top play in Saturday's Kentucky Derby. My overall view of the race can be read in a "face-off" piece against fellow handicapping Steve Davidowitz at the Bodog.com website .
If you want to make your own picks on the Derby, there's still time to VFV's free Triple Crown Contest in the Forums (must be a member to enter...membership is free). Go to the OFFICIAL Contest Thread for details and to post your $200 in mythical wagers on the Derby.
Here's my sports picks for Saturday:
MLB UMPIRE TOTALS
Reds-Cardinals UNDER 9...Bailey vs. Lohse...Paul Emmel behind the plate
Mets-Phillies UNDER 8 -120...Pelfrey vs. Halladay...Ron Kulpa behind the plate
Nationals-Marlins UNDER 9.5...Stammen vs. Volstad...Ted Barrett behind the plate
Pirates-Dodgers UNDER 8.5 -105...Duke vs. Monasterios...Doug Eddings behind the plate
Red Sox-Orioles UNDER 9.5 -120...Matsuzaka vs. Bergesen...Bill Miller behind the plate
Royals +230 vs. Rays...Davies vs. Price
Padres +110 vs. Brewers...Latos vs. Gallardo
Flyers +135 vs. Bruins
Celtics +7.5 vs. Cavaliers...Cavs were 2-3 ATS vs. Bulls...how hurt is LeBron?
Be sure to join us for the ViewFromVegas of everything that's going on Saturday in the VFV Forums .
Also of note, you can still enter the ViewFromVegas.com weekly football contests to win your choice of a free month of LIVE ODDS service from vegasinsider.com or dinner with Dave Tuley. This is the last weekend of the college contest but the NFL contest will continue through the end of the regular season with college bowl contests and an NFL playoff contest to come. See the VFV Forums for details.
This week's free selections
By Dave Tuley
Plays marked with an asterisk(*) are ones I consider best bets and intending to definitely play in the Leroy's College Challenge and the Hilton SuperContest. Please keep in mind that the lines quoted below often differ from those contest lines, which are locked in earlier in the week. This thread is meant to aid in real-world betting and I will often say I like a game but that I'm waiting for the public to steam it higher (as I play almost exclusively underdogs) to get the best price possible.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL (68-49-1 this season for a net profit of 14.1 units)
Louisville +11.5 vs. South Florida...drifting up but has probably reached peak (tpking had it 27-22)
Iowa St. +15 vs. Missouri...steaming higher so wait for peak (tpking had it 31-23)
*Kentucky +9 vs. Georgia...correction, as makana posted, Dr. Bob went against us so line up to 9.5 (tpking had it 25-23)
UConn +6 vs. Notre Dame...6 looking more solid as M has dropped from 6.5 (tpking had it 26-23)
*Air Force +10 vs. BYU...looks like 10 is best we'll see unless you got rare 10.5 (tpking had Air Force winning outright, 31-30)
Memphis +23.5 vs. Houston...grab +24 if you can get it (tpking had it 33-19)
*Army +2.5 vs. North Texas (wait to see if we get +3 (tpking had Army winning outright, 22-16)
NFL FOOTBALL (48-28-1 this season for a net profit of 17.3 units)
Bills +9 vs. Jaguars...Jags shouldn't be favored by this much over anyone (see two weeks ago vs. Chiefs)
Chiefs +10 vs. Steelers...we're still seeing inflated lines even with dogs barking lately
Ravens +1 vs. Colts...Colts moved to favoritism from earlier in week, I like that, gonna keep fading Colts
Falcons +6.5 vs. Giants...and why are Giants still getting so much respect? +7 looking possible so wait
*49ers +6.5 vs. Packers...not sure we'll get 7 here, but will still play as this should be low-scoring tight game
Seahawks +11 vs. Vikings...Seattle can actually win this if they don't beat themselves, grab 11 before it disappears
Redskins +11 vs. Cowboys...more inflation, though I don't like backing this Skins team
Bears +3 vs. Eagles...grab the 3 with lowest juice possible in case it disappears
*Titans +5 vs. Texans...Tennessee playing like last year; Texans still not reliable as fave