NCAA Week 3; NFL Week 2

   Pardon me if I'm sounding like a broken record, but again I'm going to credit reader Maury Ferguson ("fergie" in the ViewFromVegas Forums) with getting me to play of my underdogs on the money line.
   Last week in the colleges, my plays went 3-4 against the spread for net loss of 1.3 units, but a play on each dog on the ML was a break-even day as Oregon (over Michigan) and Air Force (over Utah) were both +250 for winnings of +5 units to offset the five straight-up losers. Note: the other spread-covering team that didn't win outright was Miami-Ohio, which took Minnesota to overtime as a +300 dog. For the season, the college bankroll plays are 4-6 against the spread for a net loss of 2.6 units, while the same plays on the money line are 3-7 with a net loss of 0.6 units.
   In the NFL, I went 2-3 against the spread last Sunday for a net loss of 1.3 units, but plays on the ML would have shown a 0.9-unit profit as I hit with the Titans +280 vs. the Jaguars (and most places climbed to +300 by gametime) and the Lions +120 vs. the Raiders. Those 4-units offset the three losses. Money-line wagers are usually exactly 1 unit but I had the Rams included so I had to lay 1.1 units at pick-em, so that was why it's a 0.9-unit profit. That also backs up something fergie has written: "you can't pick a favorite to save your life."
   But now onto this weekend's picks, when hopefully even more underdogs will win outright and make the bankroll profitable.

   Here are my seven college plays this week that I used on my tuleythetout entry in the Leroy's College Challenge (money lines in parentheses are from the Las Vegas Hilton on Friday morning):

Miami-Ohio +8.5 vs. Cincinnati (+250)
Tennessee +7.5 vs. Florida (+270)
Fresno St. +16.5 vs. Oregon (+750)
Louisiana Tech +33.5 vs. California (not widely available but I did see 50-1 offshore)
Southern Miss -0.5 vs. (-115)
Arkansas +3.5 vs. Alabama (+135)
Boston College +6.5 vs. Georgia Tech (+220)

   Some readers have pointed out that they saw another entry of mine under ViewFromVegas go 4-3 in the Leroy's contest. Two people even joked (at least I hope they were joking) that I was holding out my best plays by not giving them out on the site. Believe me, I wish I could be that sure of which picks would win or lose. Anyway, here are the ViewFromVegas entry's picks: Miami-Ohio, Fresno St. and Tennessee from the tuleythetout entry, plus Washington +4.5 vs. Ohio St., Central Florida +18.5 vs. Texas, , Nebraska +10.5 vs. USC, and UNLV +17.5 vs. Hawaii.

   In the NFL, I'm going with five underdogs in my ViewFromVegas.com entry in the Hilton SuperContest:

Titans +7 vs. the Colts (+270)
Packers PK vs. the Giants (+110)
Falcons +10 vs. the Jaguars (+475)
Dolphins +3.5 vs. the Cowboys (+180)
Jets +7.5 vs. the Ravens (+425)

Note: the Packers are currently +1.5 (which is also why the ML is +110 instead of -110 that it was early in the week) and the Jets are now +10 so I'll grade those accordingly on the site.


 

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