Nov. 10-11: NCAA Week 11; NFL Week 10
In the colleges, I went 2-5 last week, dropping my NCAA bankroll to a pitiful 27-39 for a net loss of 15.9 units. That is truly hard to do. The only dog that won outright was Florida St. over Boston College as the money-line experiment with all of my selections dropped to -18.3, really making me wish I could have claimed the +900 on Auburn vs. Florida that I only saw offshore. But that's the way it goes. I'll try to make amends the rest of the regular season and get rolling into the bowl season.
Temple +25 vs. Penn St. (NL in Vegas, +2000 offshore)
UConn +6.5 vs. Cincinnati (+220)
Air Force -3.5 vs. Notre Dame (-160)
UCLA +7 vs. Arizona St. (+220)
Florida St. +7 vs. Virginia Tech (+220)
Maryland +6.5 vs. Boston College (+220)
Oklahoma St. +6 vs. Kansas (+180)
The NFL bankroll had been making a bit of a comeback with back-to-back 3-2 weeks, but went 2-3 last week to drop to 21-24-1 for a net loss of 4.3 units. It was especially frustrating as the Packers were the only team to win outright, while the Seahawks let their game slip away vs. the Browns as did the Colts vs. the Patriots, though at least Indy still covered. For the year, money-line plays would be -7.6 units.
Jaguars +4 vs. Titans (+180)...Titans great at dogs, not adept at covering spread as faves
Browns +10 vs. Steelers (+380)...I love that this line moved to 10 on Friday morning
Rams +11.5 vs. Saints (+500)...Saints on improve, but line still too high as Rams improving (a little)
Cowboys -1 vs. Giants (-110)...better team has me taking taste of rare chalk, plus Giants in unprecedented travel spot
Chargers +3.5 vs. Colts (+170)...SD usually matches up well with Indy, Indy hungover from Pats loss
I'm also going to go under 44 in the Bengals-Ravens game. This just seems too high for many reasons (I know the Cincy defense is bad, but Baltimore offense has been awful; Ravens' D knows Cincy personnel) but what really throws me is the other game in the same division, Browns-Steelers, has a total of 47.5. This game is only expected to have one field goal less, especially considering the Browns are 8-0 with the over this season? I think this number is way too high...I would put it at 40, so I'll make this my first official total play of the year.
Nice job Dave, way to sweep the board on Sunday. (SD is up 16-0 as I type this).
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Nice NFL Picks Tom; hope you played the Moneylines also!
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